Taking On The Challenge: RotoBowl '08!

Welcome Ultimate Fantasy Sports Fans!

EJ Fulbright here, letting you know that I'll be bringing you a new running diary about my newest fantasy experience.

The Ultimate Fantasy Sports Site has been invited to take up the challenge of RotoBowl '08!

Thanks so much to Matthew Falkow over at RotoBowl (http://www.rotobowl.com/).

If you're not familiar with the RotoBowl tournament, here's the rundown:

Rotobowl is a huge fantasy football tournament that starts off each year with some amazing live draft parties (currently in Atlantic City, NJ and Baltimore, MD, but coming soon to a major city near you!). I'm not going to have the pleasure of attending one of these amazing draft parties, but if you get the opportunity, I highly recommend it. These parties are a blast! Live drafts are held at these parties (in addition to bikini contests, after parties, and lots of food, drinks and fun!), and if you can't make a live draft party (like me), you can participate in an online draft. There are groups of 12 teams and you have to win your league then win the championship tournament in order to win the $20,000 grand prize. (entry fees for the tournament are $250 each)

Of course, yours truly is gunning to win (because, why play if you're not playing to win, right?). This will be an interesting journey, and I'll let you guys know what my thought process is as I prepare for the draft and go through each week competing in the tournament. Hopefully, with all my skill (and an INSANE amount of luck ;) The Ultimate Fantasy Site can go down in history as the 2008 Rotobowl Champion!

The draft is scheduled for early September. Look out competitors . . . you better believe The Ultimate Fantasy Site will be ready!

If you have questions about the tournament and want to find out how to participate, go to http://www.rotobowl.com/ and check out Matthew's site.

Enjoy!

EJ Fulbright
Editor-in-Chief, The Ultimate Fantasy Site
C0-Host, The Ultimate Fantasy Sports Show Live!

2008 Preseason Fantasy Football Team Previews: Green Bay Packers

NFC North (Chicago Bears, Green Bay Packers, Detroit Lions, Minnesota Vikings)


Green Bay Packers Fantasy Preview:

Are any other fantasy football owners as sick of Brett Favre as I am? I mean, I loved watching the guys play as much as anyone, but come on! He's been holding this franchise hostage for years now. This has gotten real old real fast. Just release the guy already and let's move on!

(ok. My Favre rant is over. Please, Mr. Goddell, make the Pack trade this guy! Back to the preview)

This team was extremely young last year at many of the skill positions, and somehow it all came together. So much so, that this team was disappointed it missed the Super Bowl game (now that's coming together!). So many things went right for this team last year. Start with a bounce back season from the afore mentioned Brett Favre (who I'd just as soon stop mentioning in relation to this team!), add surprising performances from both WR Greg Jennings (920 yards, 12tds) and RB Ryan Grant (1100+ total yards, 8 tds), and top it off with a stellar defensive showing, and you had the making of a Super Bowl contender.

Then the Brett Favre Show started again. Will he or won't he? Again. Yawn.

Now, (I just can't see any way Favre is under center for this team this year or ever again) Aaron Rodgers is the man. He still has some great offensive weapons in Jennings and WR James Jones, as well as the sure-handed but aging WR Donald Driver. Grant returns to build off his amazing season last year, and this offense is once again primed to be a good one. The major question mark will be how well will Rodgers fill the enormous shoes of Brett Favre? This team will only go as far as Rodgers takes them, and it could be a true boom or bust season for Rodgers in his first chance to lead this team. Expect Rodgers to be hot and cold this season and probably best suited to be a #2 QB as opposed to your #1.

This defensive unit was pretty stout last season, and seems to be coming on as one of the better units in the league, having given up only 18.2 points per game last year. They have a strong secondary with CB Charles Woodson and CB Al Harris returning, and they have DE Aaron Kampman putting pressure on the quarterback up front along with LBs AJ Hawk and Nick Barnett. This defense should again be worthy of a draft pick and starting position in a 12 team or larger league.

Green Bay drafted WR Jordy Nelson and QB Brian Brohm in the second round. Neither should see extended playing time this season. Neither will 3rd round pick TE Jeremichael Finley. Don't look for any standout rookies from the Pack this year.


Fantasy Surprise for 2008: Ryan Grant, RB

I can see this team throwing the ball a little less and running a little more to give Rodgers a chance to get comfortable being the new team leader. That directly benefits Ryan Grant, who should easily top 1000 yards this year and could come close to double digit touchdowns. He's being drafted pretty highly so far this year, but he's one of the few RBs left out there that isn't in a RBBC. If Grant is your #1 RB, you'll probably be in good shape. If he's your #2 (and he stays healthy), you're probably in great shape to make the playoffs.

Fantasy Disappointment for 2008: Greg Jennings, WR

Jennings scored 12 tds last season with Brett Favre throwing him the football. He really came on the scene with a bang, but I just can't see him getting the same amount of production with Aaron Rodgers at the helm. I see the ceiling for Jennings this year at around 1000 yards and 7 tds, which would still be a pretty good season for a WR, but not what owners who saw him last year will expect. Temper your expectations when drafting Jennings this year. . . he's bound to have a drop-off.

Best Fantasy Draft Value for 2008: Brett Favre, QB ?

I know. I'm being a hypocrite. I want the saga over and I wish they'd release him already. However, how can you bet against Favre coming back with another team (Minnesota, maybe?) for one last hurrah? Favre will be a draft afterthought, and if you can snag him late in your draft, it might pay huge dividends. That is, if he actually gets his release. Just about everyone else on the team should be drafted just about where they belong, but Favre has the chance to really outshine whatever draft position he is currently getting. If you can snag him late and stash him, it is highly advised.

Next Up: Detroit Lions

2008 Preseason Fantasy Football Team Previews: Chicago Bears

NFC North (Chicago Bears, Green Bay Packers, Detroit Lions, Minnesota Vikings)


Chicago Bears Fantasy Preview:

The Chicago Bears provided fantasy football owners and Chicago Bears fans with some colossal disappointments last season. From highly touted (and highly drafted) RB Cedric Benson (who was recently released, btw, just in case you were living under a rock) who was a huge fantasy football bust to QB Rex Grossman who temporarily lost his starting job to WR Bernard Berrian (who simply didn't have anyone to consistently get him the ball), there was plenty of disappointment to go around. Even K Robbie Gould had a down season compared to 2006. Only WR/KR Devin Hester and the Bears defense came through last year, and Should do so again this year. The QB situation is still a mess, with strong armed, but grossly (pun intended) inaccurate Rex Grossman the starter and Kyle Orton backing him up. Gone are WR Mushin Muhammad (back to Carolina), RB Cedric Benson (released because he couldn't stay off the sauce) and WR Bernard Berrian (Minnesota). New faces this season include WR Marty Booker (Miami) and WR Brandon Lloyd (Washington). Time will tell if these guys can gel with WR Mark Bradley and TE Greg Olsen. Newly drafted RB Matt Forte takes over for Benson along with RB Adrian Peterson (the other one) and possibly newly signed (but still on the mend) RB Kevin Jones (Detroit). Will any of these guys make this offense perform any better than last year? Again, time will tell. Are any of these guys draftable in this offense with this offensive line? Well, I wouldn't mortgage the farm for any of them, including Forte.

The Bears defense is the strength of this team, and if KR/WR Devin Hester's stats are part of the defense in your league, this should still be a highly sought after unit. The bears should get a healthy LB Brian Urlacher and LB Lance Briggs returning, although they lost S Adam Archuletta, DT Darin Walker and LB Brendon Ayanbadejo. Even with these defections, this is still a top 5 defense, and should be drafted accordingly.

This draft may make or break the Bears, as 2nd rd pick RB Matt Forte has been handed the starting job. As Forte goes, the Bears offense may go, considering this is a run-oriented offense. Forte was a beast at Tulane last year (2,127 yards rushing), and could really spark this offense to great things. However, if the offensive line doesn't open some holes for him, he might as well be Cedric Benson (ok. not really). 3rd Rd pick Earl Bennett (Vanderbilt) has a chance to grab some playing time on this team with the players in front of him, but I think he's still a year or two away from fantasy respectability. Snag Forte in the mid to later rounds of your draft if he's available, but leave Bennett on the waiver wire.


Fantasy Surprise for 2008: Rex Grossman, QB

I'm going out on a limb here, and even though I don't like him very much, I think this might be the year that Rex Grossman gets his act together. The coaching staff has been working on his decision making this offseason, and he has some good (not great, but good) targets that can get open and catch the ball. If these guys come together and Grossman takes just a decent step forward, he will be worthy of at least a bench spot. Since I don't expect much from this offense, that would be a surprise to me!

Fantasy Disappointment for 2008: Matt Forte, RB

Don't get me wrong. I like Forte. I think he has the tools to be a good one. However, I don't like the fact that he's being forced to take the starting role in this offense. It doesn't look much like a recipe for success, and until Rex Grossman proves he can keep defenses honest, it just doesn't bode well for the rookie. I think Forte will be decent to good this season, but I think a good #2 RB is probably his ceiling for this year. Draft him, just don't over draft him because he's now the starter on this team.

Best Fantasy Draft Value for 2008: Bears Defense

On this team, about the only one you can reasonably rely on to produce is the Bears defense, and I'm just not comfortable picking anyone else to produce on this team until I see something. If you're spending a precious draft pick on a Chicago Bear, make sure its the defense. Anyone else will be a crap-shoot at best, and you should proceed with caution. The Bear's defense should again be one of the league's best and a great option for your fantasy team.


Next Up: Green Bay Packers

2008 Preseason Fantasy Football Team Previews: Tampa Bay Buccaneers

NFC South(Atlanta Falcons, Carolina Panthers, New Orleans Saints, Tampa Bay Buccaneers)


Tampa Bay Bucs Fantasy Preview:

Astute fantasy football owners had to appreciate the Bucs last year. Even though injuries and age decimated many of their projected stars (most notably RB Cadillac Williams), there was at least one gem on this team that some owners snatched on their way to the playoffs. Earnest Graham took over in week 6 and never looked back, rushing for 898 yards and 10 tds while starting in only 10 games. He was so impressive that the Bucs recently signed him to a 3 year, 11 million dollar contract extension, so he figures prominently in their current and future plans. As for the rest of the skill positions . . . eh. Jeff Garcia returns from a decent season to again lead the squad (and at age 38, how many good seasons can he have left in him?), Joey Galloway returns as the lead receiver (and at age 37, how many seasons does he have left?) along with (32 year old) Ike Hilliard and chronic underachiever Michael Clayton. The main reason this team won the NFC South and made the playoffs last year was a surprising defensive performance from a veteran group. The team added retread RB Warrick Dunn (who at age 33 probably doesn't have much left either) to back up Graham while Cadillac Williams rehabs, and also brought in veteran WR (and proven knuckle-head) Antonio Bryant, TE Ben Troupe, and S Eugene Wilson. It is doubtful if any of these additions will make any significant fantasy impact for the team this year. This is a team that could gear up for 1 more playoff run, or a team that could really implode as a lot of veteran players ride off into the sunset.

The defense was the strength of this team last year, and should once again be a strength. CB Ronde Barber will get some assistance this year with newly drafted 1st rd pick Aqib Talib (if he can get his head on straight), and this unit should still be able to put pressure on the QB with LBs Barrett Ruud and Derrick Brooks. It would not be a stretch for this unit to end up in the top 10 fantasy defenses. This is a great later rounds pick for a fantasy defensive unit.

As mentioned earlier, 1st rd pick CB Aqib Talib should be a good one. If he can get his act together mentally, he can put his immense talent to good use. Also drafted in rd 2 was WR Dexter Jackson, who could push for playing time and kick returning duties. Other than that, there doesn't look to be anyone worthy of fantasy consideration, and neither of these players should have a considerable fantasy impact this year.


Fantasy Surprise for 2008: Earnest Graham, RB

I like Earnest Graham. I think he has a chance to really come on the scene this year, now that he is the undisputed starter. Cadillac Williams may be back sometime later in the year, but he is coming off of a serious knee injury and may not be back to regular form anytime this year. Graham's only competition are Warrick Dunn and 7th rd draft pick Cory Boyd. With an older Jeff Garcia directing the offense and suspect WR talent, look for Graham to be the beneficiary and have a stellar year. He'll make a great #2 RB and a borderline #1.

Fantasy Disappointment for 2008: Jeff Garcia, QB

At age 38, I just can't see Garcia having too many good years left, even in a contract season. He used to be known as an "athletic" QB, and now he is just known as an "intelligent veteran", which means he's gotten old and slow. He has never had the best arm, and he has questionable talent around him at WR (with the possible exception of almost as old Joey Galloway). He was decent last year, but not great, and its not out of the realm of possibility that he is replaced sometime this season with one of the other many QBs on this roster. Leave him on the waiver wire.

Best Fantasy Draft Value for 2008: Bucs Defense

There just aren't many options to choose from here. If you're looking for draft value, look no further than the Bucs defense. There are few options here that will give you any value whatsoever, but the Bucs defense should be a quality choice late in your draft. They have a chance to finish in the top 10 or higher, and they will be around long after the Steelers, Patriots, Vikings, Chargers and Bears are chosen. Pick them late and you should feel good about your defensive position all season long.

Next Up: Chicago Bears

2008 Preseason Fantasy Football Team Previews: New Orleans Saints

NFC South (Atlanta Falcons, Carolina Panthers, New Orleans Saints, Tampa Bay Buccaneers)


New Orleans Saints Fantasy Preview:

After a magical "return to New Orleans after Hurricane Katrina" season in 2006, 2007 left fantasy football players who relied on the Saints feeling not so holy. When Deuce McAllister went down, Reggie Bush was exposed as someone who couldn't carry the load. Marques Colston didn't get going until later in the year. Drew Brees still had a banner year, but it didn't translate into wins on the football field. However, this team returns enough fire power to be a good fantasy producer in 2008. If McAllister can return to form, he will take pressure off Reggie Bush and allow Bush to be the effective lightning threat this team needs. They also need to get improved seasons from WR David Patten and TE Eric Johnson. In the weak NFC South, it shouldn't take much for the Saints to get back on track and have another run to the playoffs while putting up a ton of points in coach Sean Payton's offense. From a fantasy perspective, this should be a team that produces some good prospects for your team.

Defense was not a strong point for the Saints last year (or the year before). Even when this offense was scoring tons of points, the defense couldn't consistently stop anyone. There was a heavy emphasis placed on defense in the draft this year, and the team acquired standout linebacker Jonathan Vilma from the NY Jets. However, until this unit actually shows us something consistently, they are better left on the waiver wire.

DT Sedrick Ellis and CB Tracy Porter were this team's 1st and 2nd round draft picks respectively. Neither player will make a significant fantasy impact for your squad this year. However, look for a splash from 2nd year WR Robert Meachem, who missed all of last year with injury and who has looked really good so far this offseason.


Fantasy Surprise for 2008: Robert Meachem, WR

The 2nd year WR out of Tennessee had high promise coming into the season last year, but a knee injury derailed his rookie year completely. He has been getting high praise from both the coaching staff and QB Drew Brees this offseason, and he appears to have learned enough to make a contribution this year. He may not be quite ready for prime time, but could produce enough to become a good complement to Marques Colston and a decent #3 WR for your fantasy team.

Fantasy Disappointment for 2008: Reggie Bush, RB

Reggie Bush has a lot of speed and skill, but I'm just not sure he has what it takes to really be a star in the league. He has been largely underwhelming since joining the league, and proved last year that he can't carry the load by himself. If Deuce McAllister can't return to form from injury, Bush will once again be exposed as someone who is a spot player at best. He should still produce good numbers and be a decent higher round draft pick, but temper your expectations and try to take him after round 4 or 5, or you'll probably regret it.

Best Fantasy Draft Value for 2008: Drew Brees, QB

Even with Marques Colston starting off the season slowly, and losing both WR Robert Meachem and RB Deuce McAllister, Brees had a career season last year, and should only get better in 2008. His numbers should land him in or very near the top 5 overall fantasy QBs next year, and his draft value will be much better than that of QBs such as Tony Romo, Tom Brady or Peyton Manning. If you can snag Brees in rounds 3-5, you should be in a position to build a championship team with great picks at RB or WR in the earlier rounds.

Up Next: Tampa Bay Buccaneers

2008 Preseason Fantasy Football Team Previews: Carolina Panthers

NFC South (Atlanta Falcons, Carolina Panthers, New Orleans Saints, Tampa Bay Buccaneers)

Carolina Panthers Fantasy Preview:

Last season was a fantasy football season to forget for the Panthers. What started out as such as promising season for WR Steve Smith and QB Jake Delhomme quickly turned to disappointment once Delhomme went down. After that, Steve Smith disappeared, and pretty much took everyone else with him. With David Carr, Vinny Testaverde, and undrafted rookie Matt Moore under center, things didn't go as planned for the Panthers for the rest of the season. Injuries shut down a pretty promising defense, and overall, left the season a huge disappointment. Gone are defensive stalwarts DE Mike Rucker, LB Dan Morgan, & DT Kris Jenkins. Gone are offensive contributors RB DeShaun Foster, QBs David Carr and Vinny Testaverde, and WRs Keary Colbert and Drew Carter. The team invested heavily in RB Jonathan Stewart (1st rd, 13 overall), and brought back WR Mushin Muhammad (who had arguably his most fantasy relevant years in Carolina). They brought in WR DJ Hackett from Seattle and RB LaBrandon Toefield from Jacksonville to add offensive depth. However, none of these things will make much of a difference without a healthy Jake Delhomme. If he remains healthy, this team will make another run for the playoffs and many of these guys will again be fantasy relevant. If not, it will be another long year for the Panthers. Look for the former, and for a bounce back season for all-star WR Steve Smith.

There is no question that injuries and a stagnant offense destroyed this defense last year, which is a shame when you consider what they have been over the last few years. They lost a few big names, but the pieces are still there for this to be a good fantasy defense. Julius Peppers should have a much better year this year, and I expect this defense to at least be fantasy relevant. Should you draft them? That remains to be seen. Just keep them on the radar.

There was only 1 draft pick that fantasy owners will care about this year: RB Jonathan Stewart. At 5'11" and 235 lbs, Stewart is the big bruising back this team has missed since Stephen Davis, and his skills (1700+ yards & 11 TDs his senior season at Oregon) should translate into nice fantasy production on this team next year. 1200 yards and 8TDs are not out of reach for Stewart, even in a time share with DeAngelo Williams, and he should make an good #2 RB as a rookie.

Fantasy Surprise for 2008: Jake Delhomme, QB

Not much of a surprise here. When Jake Delhomme went down last year, this team was done. It was Jake that almost single-handedly won this team a Super Bowl in 2004, and his absence was the reason for this team's dreadful performance on the field last season. If Delhomme returns for a full season, this team will thrive. Delhomme was on the verge of a great season last year before injury, and if he picks up where he left off, he will put up #1 QB numbers. You should be able to grab him in the mid to late rounds of your draft as a #2, or as a low end #1 if you wait too long to grab a starting QB. He shouldn't disappoint in 2008.

Fantasy Disappointment for 2008: DeAngelo Williams, RB

Williams just can't seem to catch a break. There was talk of him getting more carries last season when DeShaun Foster didn't seem very effective, but that never really materialized. Now, going into the off season, he seems as if he'd get a chance to be a feature back, but the team drafts Jonathan Stewart to handle the load. He may have speed to burn, but he won't get the opportunities to make the most of it. He is oozing with potential, but unless Stewart goes down, he'll have to settle once again for being a change of pace guy. If he rushes for more than 5 TDs this year, he should consider himself extremely fortunate.

Best Fantasy Draft Value for 2008: Steve Smith, WR

Steve Smith started the season on fire last year, catching 16 passes for 281 yards and 4 TDs. Unfortunately, once Jake Delhomme left, so did his production. As a result, he probably left a bad taste in the mouths of many fantasy owners, which will push his draft value down. However, with Delhomme back under center, and with DJ Hackett and Mushin Muhammad helping take defensive pressure away from him, Smith should again have top 3 WR numbers, and will be a steal if drafted in the 3rd round or later. There's a reason he was being discussed last year as the best WR in the game. Don't forget that on draft day.

Up Next: New Orleans Saints

2008 Preseason Fantasy Football Team Previews: Atlanta Falcons

NFC South (Atlanta Falcons, Carolina Panthers, New Orleans Saints, Tampa Bay Buccaneers)


Atlanta Falcons Fantasy Preview:

Last season the Falcons were a fantasy football nightmare. They were bad on offense. They were bad on defense. Their quarterbacking was suspect at best, thanks to the incarceration of Michael Vick. Their offensive line was offensive. Their coach quit. Just terrible. If there was one bright spot, it was the emergence of Roddy White at receiver. A new GM showed the door to many of the holdover "stars" on the team: RB Warrick Dunn, QB Byron Leftwich, TE Alge Crumpler and CB DeAngelo Hall . . . all gone. Brought in to change the direction of the team were RB Michael Turner (San Diego), K Jason Elam (Denver) and #3 overall draft pick QB Matt Ryan (Boston College). Only time will tell if or when these guys can turn the fortunes of the franchise around. There are a LOT of questions surrounding this team . . . again. Can Matt Ryan or holdover Chris Redman carry this team this season, and take advantage of another potential breakout season by talented WR Roddy White? Can Michael Turner shoulder the load and be effective behind that offensive line? Will they ever get Jerious Norwood the ball more? Can they replace Crumpler's production at TE? Will the defense stop anyone? You might want to temper your expectations from this team with all these questions yet to be answered.

Once again, the defense wasn't very good. Chances are, it won't be very good again this season, and could spend a LOT of time on the field. Stay away.

Matt Ryan was drafted #3 overall to be the new offensive savior of this franchise. It remains to be seen if he can, in fact, make everyone in Atlanta forget about the Mike Vick era. He has some skills, but I wasn't too impressed with him in college, and wouldn't be surprised if Chris Redman takes the majority of the snaps this year. Still, Ryan could turn into a good dynasty choice. Unfortunately, I don't see him as more than a bye week fill-in this year.


Fantasy Surprise for 2008: Michael Turner, RB

I'm sold. Even though he's an obvious choice, he's also the safest choice given the state of the offense and the commitment that was made to him. Turner has the size and speed to be a great #2 RB, and should be the focal point of the offense. There will again be struggles at QB, but hopefully there will be enough decent play to keep defenses from keying on Turner. WR Roddy White should help keep teams honest, and Turner should have a breakout fantasy season in his first opportunity to be a feature back. Grab him in Round 3 or 4, and you'll be happy you did.

Fantasy Disappointment for 2008: Matt Ryan, QB

Can anyone be a disappointment on a team that no one expects anything from? Maybe not, but I think some people will over value Ryan because he was a high draft pick. Most rookie QBs struggle coming out of the gate, and Ryan should be no different. Temper your expectations greatly for this guy, who sort of reminds me of David Carr coming out of college.

Best Fantasy Draft Value for 2008: Chris Redman, QB

I know Matt Ryan was a high draft pick. I know a lot of money was invested in him. I also know that throwing QBs to the wolves isn't the best way to get a good return on your investment. In a perfect situation, Chris Redman would play most of the season and give Ryan a chance to learn the ropes before he starts running for his life. Redman did a decent job of getting the ball to Roddy White last year, and with a decent running game to fall back on, could surprise this year. He could be a good backup QB this year, and may even have a few surprisingly good games. He'll be dirt cheap in any draft.

Up Next: Carolina Panthers

2008 Preseason Fantasy Football Team Previews: Arizona Cardinals

NFC West (Seattle Seahawks, San Francisco 49ers, St. Louis Rams, Arizona Cardinals)

Arizona Cardinals Fantasy Preview:

The biggest fantasy football question hanging over this team in 2008 is: who will be the starting quarter back? Matt Leinart has been good in spots and dreadful in others, and after bowing out last year with another injury, Kurt Warner stepped in and ignited the offense. There are rumblings that even though Leinart is doing and saying all the right things to get ready to begin the season as the starter, the coaching staff may not think he's best suited for the job. That battle will play itself out in training camp, but it was obvious to most that Warner ran the offense better than Leinart did. If Leinart doesn't make a huge leap forward this year, he may be looking for a job elsewhere soon. Stud duo WRs Larry Fitzgerald and Anquan Boldin should once again be electric on the field, and if the offensive line can ever come together, it could be a good season for Edgerrin James. However, offensive line issues have been in Arizona for a while now, so banking on a great season from Edge is dicey. Tight end Leonard Pope started showing his promise last year, and should continue to improve.

The defense returns standout linebacker Karlos Dansby, defensive end Bertrand Berry, cornerback Antrel Rolle, but lost linebacker Calvin Pace to the NY Jets. I don't see much that stands out about this defense that was middle-of-the-road last year at best. They may be decent fill-ins or waiver wire material, but I don't see them improving much from last year.

The Cardinals picked up corner back Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie in the first round this year, and he has the skills to help this defense sooner than later, as does DE Calais Campbell (2nd rd). WR Early Doucet (3rd rd) is an intriguing prospect, but this year will be no better than Bryant Johnson's replacement as a #3 receiver. Leave him on the waiver wire.


Fantasy Surprise for 2008: Leonard Pope, TE

At 6'8", Pope is a huge red zone target, and he really came in his sophomore season last year. If this team finds itself throwing the ball as much as usual, or if injuries again creep into the wide receiving corps, Pope could find himself with another strong year. Remember, its much easier to find your tight end (esp. when he's 6'8") for dump offs when you're running for your life behind a sieve of an offensive line. Pope won't cost you much at all in drafts, and if you don't draft a TE until the later rounds, he's a good choice.

Fantasy Disappointment for 2008: Edgerrin James, RB

It would be easy to pick Matt Leinart, but don't forget about a declining Edgerrin James. The offensive line (and more times than not, it was truly offensive!) and age are catching up with James, and he doesn't hit the hole like he did in Indy. His draft value won't be what it was last year, but neither will his production. Buyer beware!

Best Fantasy Draft Value for 2008: Kurt Warner, QB

Warner has shown he knows how to move this offense, and how to utilize both Fitzgerald and Boldin well. If Leinart doesn't get his act together quickly, his short leash will be pulled and Warner should once again excel under center. He is a great late round gamble.

Next Up: Atlanta Falcons

2008 Preseason Fantasy Football Team Previews: St. Louis Rams

NFC West (Seattle Seahawks, San Francisco 49ers, St. Louis Rams, Arizona Cardinals)

St. Louis Rams Fantasy Preview:

Remember when these guys were the "Greatest Show On Turf"? I know. Think harder. This team used to be such a boon for fantasy football talent, but that isn't necessarily the case anymore. Age started catching up to this team, and free agency, coaching turn over (where is Mike Martz when you need him?) and injuries have taken its toll on this team. Still, there is some hope. Stephen Jackson is still a top 5 running back in any format, and as long as he's around, there is hope. Let's just hope he stays healthy. If he does, he will be worthy of a high first round draft pick. Gone are Jeff Wilkins (retired) and Issac Bruce (released, now with the San Francisco 49ers). Marc Bulger SHOULD be ready to go after injuries forced him to miss time last year, and he will still have stud (though aging) wide receiver Torry Holt to throw to, as well as Randy McMichael at tight end, who should get more offensive attention this year. Drew Bennett has been promoted to #2 WR, so it remains to be seen if he is capable of filling Bruce's shoes. Newly acquired kicker Josh Brown should at least come close to his numbers from last year.

This defense spent much too much time on the field last year, but still has a few impact players in ILB Will Witherspoon, DE Leonard Little, and S Corey Chavous. The drafting of #2 overall pick Chris Long can only help, but this is a defense to leave on the waiver wire.

As mentioned above, DE Chris Long should have an immediate impact on the defense, but that may take a while to translate into strong IDP numbers or team defensive numbers. WR Donny Avery (2nd rd) is a small speedy receiver and seems destined for the slot. Neither is a good draft candidate this year.


Fantasy Surprise for 2008: Drew Bennett, WR

Its time for Bennett to put up or shut up. He has all the tools to make an impact on this team, and he has the confidence of the coaching staff (which is why they let Issac Bruce walk). Torry Holt is on the decline, and this offense desperately needs another receiver to return to the balance it once had and spread the field more for Stephen Jackson. I say this is the year he puts it all together and has a fantasy worthy performance.


Fantasy Disappointment for 2008: Brian Leonard, RB

A lot of people were high on Leonard coming out of college, and with good reason: he's a versatile runner who can do a lot of things with the ball in his hands. He was a good handcuff to Jackson last year, and made the most of his opportunities to start. Unfortunately, that role now belongs to Antonio Pittman, and Leonard will be relegated to mostly blocking duties. If you're looking to draft a handcuff for Jackson, don't make the mistake of taking Leonard.

Best Fantasy Draft Value for 2008: Marc Bulger, QB

Marc Bulger was having a great season before he was derailed by injuries last year. If Drew Bennett & Randy McMichael can pick up some offensive slack (and if Stephen Jackson stays healthy), Bulger should once again be a top producer. He should slide down draft boards based on his production last year, and is a good later round gamble to take with lots of upside.


Next Up: Arizona Cardinals

2008 Preseason Fantasy Football Team Previews: San Francisco 49ers

NFC West (Seattle Seahawks, San Francisco 49ers, St. Louis Rams, Arizona Cardinals)

San Francisco 49ers Fantasy Preview:

This was a team chock full of disappointment last year. Pick a fantasy football player . . . any fantasy football player, and there was disappointment to share. Alex Smith? check. Frank Gore? check. Darrell Jackson? check. Vernon Davis? check. Ashley Lelie? ouch. Odds are if you had to rely on 49ers last year, you didn't do very well. Therefore, Mike Nolan and the 49ers brass made some major changes. Adios Darrell Jackson. So long Trend Dilfer. Please welcome Mike Martz to run the new and (hopefully) improved offense (and maybe make something fantasy relevant out of Alex Smith). Enter new wide receivers Bryant Johnson (from Arizona) and Issac Bruce (from St. Louis), new (backup) running back DeShaun Foster (from Carolina), and new return man Allen Rossum (from Pittsburgh). If these guys can gel with the incumbents, and Martz can get the most out of them, then this team could be fantasy relevant again. That's a lot of ifs, though. Still, we saw what Martz did with a Detroit team that arguably had less talent to work with, especially at QB, so that at least bodes well for Alex Smith. This could also be the opportunity Bryant Johnson has needed to become fantasy relevant.

The defense was good, but not great last year (and even that is debatable). However, the really bright spot was rookie Patrick Willis, who was simply amazing at inside linebacker. The team is looking to add another player to give him some assistance on the inside, such as Takeo Spikes. The team also signed DE Justin Smith (from Cincinnati) to give them an impact pass rusher (because, he was just soooo good in Cincinnati, right? Still wondering why they gave HIM so much money since he was a colossal bust in Cinci). Avoid this defense in your draft.

The 49ers didn't draft anyone who will make a fantasy impact this year.


Fantasy Surprise for 2008: Bryant Johnson, WR

Johnson was signed away from Arizona to be the team's new #1 WR (replacing Darrell Jackson). Bryant has the size and speed to be a really good #2 WR on your fantasy team, and could really excel in Mike Martz's system. If Alex Smith can do a Jon Kitna impersonation, Bryant's fantasy value will soar in 2008.

Fantasy Disappointment for 2008: Frank Gore, RB

I'm still not sold on Gore. He's going to again be drafted in the mid to early first round, and he does have great skills. However, he's always been injury prone (even in college, which is why his draft stock fell), and he's a complainer. He could have a bounce back year, but the offense won't be built entirely around him, and I wonder if his touches will be reduced by both the addition of DeShaun Foster and the system of Mike Martz. I think he'll be good, but not worthy of his lofty draft status, which means he will again be a disappointment.

Best Fantasy Draft Value for 2008: Vernon Davis, TE

Davis has a disappointing year last year. However, he (like Bryant Johnson) stands to benefit most from the new Mike Martz system. He could really blossom this year, as he has the skills to be a great receiving tight end in this league (like Antonio Gates and Jason Witten). I can see him being a great value pick in the mid to late rounds, and should finish as a top 5 TE.

Next Up: St. Louis Rams

2008 Preseason Fantasy Football Team Previews: Seattle Seahawks

For the next 32 straight days, I'll be going through the entire NFL and previewing each team from a fantasy perspective. Let's face it: what those of us who are really (and I mean REALLY) serious about our fantasy football championships want to know is who we can start keeping tabs on to make the most out of our fantasy football draft (which is right around the corner).

Many of us are ready for some FOOTBALL! (sorry . . . couldn't help myself; the NFL royalty fee is in the mail). So, here's a stroll down NFL fantasy lane to see what we can expect from each team this season.


NFC West (Seattle Seahawks, San Francisco 49ers, St. Louis Rams, Arizona Cardinals)

Seattle Seahawks Fantasy Preview:

The biggest thing you will notice this year is the absence of Shawn Alexander. Just a few years ago, this guy was your NFL MVP. A few offensive line defections, a bad foot injury, and too many carries have led Mr. Alexander to the scrap heap today, as he was released in the offseason and replaced with (hold your breath here) Julius Jones from the Dallas Cowboys and TJ Duckett from Detroit. With a retooled offensive line and a new line coach, the Seahawks look to completely rework their running game. That could be interesting. This looks like it could be yet another running back by committee, with Maurice Morris still in the mix. Matt Hasselbeck should once again be a top 10 QB, and hopefully this will be the year that Deion Branch stays healthy for the entire year. With the loss of DJ Hackett, this could also be the opportunity Nate Burleson needs to step up and be a key fantasy contributor. Also, gone is long time fantasy mainstay kicker Josh Brown, who was replaced by Olindo Mare from New Orleans.

The defense again looks solid after returning standout linebackers Lofa Tatupu and Julian Peterson, and cornerback Marcus Trufant. This defense could be a value pick late in your fantasy football draft.

There were no rookies drafted that should make much of a fantasy impact this year, although John Carlson (TE, Notre Dame 6'6", 255lbs, 2nd rd pick) could be a good one down the road.


Fantasy Surprise for 2008: Julius Jones, RB

If he gets enough carries and the revamped offensive line comes together, he could have a breakout season and be a strong #2 RB. However, when he got the chance in Dallas last year to show what he could do, he was pretty underwhelming even behind a good offensive line. Still, if he is ever going to show that he has what it takes to carry a team's running game, this is the year.


Fantasy Disappointment for 2008: Olindo Mare, K

I had high hopes for Mare in the New Orleans offense last year, but not only did the offense not meet its 2006-2007 level of production, Olindo Mare just wasn't very good. Maybe a change of scenery will help this year, but I think he's on the downside of his career, and kicking conditions don't get much better than they were in New Orleans.


Best Fantasy Draft Value for 2008: Matt Hasselbeck, QB

Matt Hasselbeck is consistently in the top 10 in production each year, but he is always a mid round draft pick or lower. You could do much worse than Hasselbeck as your #1 QB if you don't snag Peyton Manning or Tom Brady, and the draft value he carries will allow you to load up on top tier wide receivers or running backs.

Tomorrow: San Francisco 49ers

What Rookies Should I Consider In My 2008 Fantasy Football Draft?

The NFL Draft has just concluded. Lots of analysts take time out at this time of the year (usually because other than the Arena League, there just isn't any football to talk about!) to give grades to each team based on their drafts. However, for us fantasy enthusiasts, we really don't care about how well each team drafted. We want to know what's important: who can help me win my fantasy football league championship next year?

Therefore, I've gone through all the draft picks, team-by-team, to bring you the draft worthy players for next year. If you're a serious fantasy football player, you probably won't be drafting any defenses too early, nor will you be taking any tight ends too early, so I won't focus on either of those. Below are a list of the noteworthy offensive skill players who were drafted who could have an impact on your quest for a championship next season.

Grades:
A - This is a player that should DEFINITELY be drafted in every fantasy league
B - This is a potential late round gamble or early season free agent pickup
C - This is a player who should make his way onto a fantasy roster before season's end

If I don't list 'em, you shouldn't consider 'em. There's always the chance that we'll see some late round draft choice or free agent player come out of nowhere in training camp or get an opportunity due to injury, but for my money, these are the players who should be relevant next year. (listed in alphabetical order)

Quarterbacks (remember, guys: these are 1st year QBs, so don't expect much):

1. Erik Ainge (NY Jets): 6'6", 225. Coming out of Tennessee, Ainge has great size and skills, and received excellent coaching. He also lands in a city that really doesn't have a true established #1 QB. Ainge could emerge as the best of the Jets' bunch before the end of the season. Grade: C+
2. John David Booty (Minnesota): 6'3", 213. Booty (gotta love the name) was simply a winner, although you might argue that he was surrounded with the best talent in the game over his college career. He heads to Minnesota where the incumbent (Tavarius Jackson) is not only incompetent, but injury prone. Great opportunity here that could shake out early in the season if Booty is a quick learner. Grade: C+
3. Brian Brohm (Green Bay): 6'3", 227. Brohm was rated as the #1 can't miss QB prospect before last season, then it all came crumbling down. He didn't play the best against top competition, but this guy has size and skills. If Aaron Rogers doesn't do his best Brett Favre impersonation, Brohm could be waiting in the wings before season's end to take his place. Grade: C
4. Joe Flacco (Baltimore): 6'7", 236. Tallest QB in the group, and though he went to a small school (Delaware), the guy can flat out play. Not the most athletic QB, but how athletic does he have to be to beat out Kyle Boller? Exactly. This battle may not last past training camp, as the Ravens are going no where this season and have little to lose. Grade: C+
5. Chad Henne (Miami): 6'2", 225. This is a Parcels pick. A smart guy with good skills who can manage a game. Great arm, which is good because he'll need to be getting rid of the ball quickly in Miami. Great chance that he'll be under center before year's end, but who knows how good he can be on this team next year. Might be worth a late season spot start. Grade: C
6. Matt Ryan (Atlanta): 6'5", 224. I watched this guy play at BC, and just wasn't too impressed. Looks like he could be the next David Carr to me. However, he'll get the chance to prove he belongs in the league while exorcising the ghosts of Michael Vick in Atlanta. Too bad he doesn't have much of a line or receiving core to throw to. He may get the most snaps next year under center of all the guys listed here, so if you're looking for quantity, he's your guy. As for quality . . . don't expect much. Should be decent at best. Grade: C+

Running Backs (uh oh . . . more platoons are on the way!):

1. Matt Forte (Chicago): 6'2", 222. Thanks, Mr. Benson. We hardly knew you. Matt Forte was built to play in Chicago, and Benson will have a tough time keeping him off the field next year. Smart money is on Forte at least forcing a platoon before mid-season, and possibly taking Benson's job for good before the end of the year. Grade: B+
2. Chris Johnson (Tennessee): 5'11", 197. Johnson will now form the ultimate "thunder and lightning" backfield with LenDale White in Tennessee. Johnson has speed to burn, and should get a chance to be a legit home-run threat in the Titans backfield. Grade: C
3. Felix Jones (Dallas): 6'0", 200. Jones is the perfect compliment to Marion Barber in the Cowboys backfield. He had a tremendous yards per carry average in college, and is lightning quick in the open field. He'll spell Barber for at least 10-12 carries a game, and should have some exciting fantasy games this year. Grade: B+
4. Darren McFadden (Oakland): 6'2", 210. Is there any doubt that this guy won't produce this year? He has only Justin Fargas to beat out (sorry Lamont Jordon, but your time in Oaktown is done), and he's a high 1st round pick. He is being compared to Adrian Peterson in terms of skill level, and should not disappoint next year. Grade: A+
5. Rashard Mendenhall (Pittsburgh): 5'11", 210. Move over, Fast Willie! Here comes another running back split! With Parker nursing injuries over the offseason, he may find himself looking at the supporting role instead of the lead when he returns. Many rated Mendenhall as the best of the draft, and he has the talent and the opportunity to make an impact next year in Pittsburgh. Grade: A
6. Ray Rice (Baltimore): 5'8", 199. If you saw any Scarlet Knight games, you'd know that this guy can flat out play. Willis McGahee is always just an injury away from giving this kid a huge opportunity, and he, too, may turn this backfield into yet another committee. Should see at least 10-12 carries a game as a change of pace, and could become fantasy worthy later in the year. Grade: C+
7. Steve Slaton (Houston): 5'9", 197. Who knows how much better that OL will be in Houston, but someone has to emerge in that backfield, so Slaton will get his chance. He's too small to be an every down back, but should get his chances before the season is over. Grade: C-
8. Kevin Smith (Detroit): 6'1", 217. Perfect situation for Kevin Smith, where the offensive will become more traditional with the absence of Mike Martz, and no real competition, since Tatum Bell has proven he's more of a change of pace guy. Not sure about that sieve of an OL, but Smith could surprise next year. Grade: B+
9. Jonathan Stewart (Carolina): 5'11", 235. This guy is a load, and is perfect for what Carolina wants to do: pound the football. Just when you thought (again) that DeAngelo Williams would be fantasy relevant, you get yet another running back committee. Expect Stewart to get the bulk of the carries and be a serviceable #2 back next year in this offense that has to be better with a healthy Delhomme back. Grade: A
10. These guys are only fantasy worthy next year as handcuffs to your studs: Jamal Charles (Kansas City - Larry Johnson), Tashard Choice (Dallas - Marion Barber), Marcus Thomas (San Diego - LaDainian Tomlinson), & Mike Hart (Indianapolis - Joseph Addai) Grades: C

Wide Receivers (like with 1st year QBs, temper your expectations with this class . . . greatly!):

1. Earl Bennett (Chicago): 6'0", 209. The sure-handed former Commadore landed in a great position in Chi-town, where they are desperate for guys who can catch the ball. Great opportunity for fantasy production here (for a 1st year receiver, that is). Grade: C+
2. Early Doucet (Arizona): 6'0", 212. Doucet flashed big-time skills at LSU, and should get at least limited opportunities to make Leinert or Warner look good. Grade: C-
3. DeSean Jackson (Philadelphia): 6'0", 178. Mind you, Jackson HIMSELF said he is UP TO 178 pounds! Everyone knows that for some reason, receivers go to Philadelphia to die, but Jackson is a burner, and if he can just avoid getting hit, he might be able to excel in the slot. He doesn't have much competition ahead of him, so he might produce next year. Grade: C-
4. Malcolm Kelly (Washington): 6'4", 218. Big, talented guy with issues, which is why he fell to the 2nd round. He has a great opportunity in Washington to stand out where they desperately need a receiver, and has the size to be a great red-zone threat. Toss up between he and Devin Thomas as to who the best receiver with the best opportunity might be next year. Grade: B+
5. Mario Manningham (NY Giants): 6'0", 181. Another skilled guy with issues, which also caused his stock to drop on draft day. If he gets his head on right, he could excel opposite Plaxico Burress in NY. Grade: C
6. Limas Sweed (Pittsburgh): 6'4, 212. Love this guy (Hook 'em Horns!). He has size, speed, and great hands. Doesn't always have the best concentration, and time will tell what sort of chemistry he develops with Roethlisberger, but he could end up being the best out of this class. Just not next year. Grade: B-
7. Devin Thomas (Washington): 6'2", 215. Another big, productive guy out of Michigan. #1 rated receiver in the draft, and he has a great opportunity to produce in Washington (with Kelly). One of these guys may break out next year in a big way for a 1st year receiver (just not sure which). Grade: B

Man, is it time for training camps yet? Make sure you watch how these guys perform in training camp, as some of them will either win or lose positions outright and make your draft decisions a lot easier.

See you in the winner's circle.

EJ